PMI-RMP Exam Dumps - PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Exam

According to the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline1, one of the domains of the PMI-RMP certification is risk monitoring and reporting. This domain includes tasks such as “monitor and report on risk metrics and trends”, “monitor the status of risk response activities and update risk register and risk report accordingly”, and “monitor and control project contingency and management reserves”. These tasks imply that the risk manager should regularly check and report on the status of risks identified according to their prioritization (B), monitor the status and oversee execution of the risk response plan for each identified risk ©, and ensure management reserves are sufficient to cover the mitigation plans for all identified risks (D). These actions will help the risk manager to ensure the risk management plan remains effective during the project timeframe. Therefore, the best answers are B, C, and D.

References: 1: PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline, pages 9-10.

The Delphi technique allows the project risk manager to gather opinions from all stakeholders anonymously. This method would enable stakeholders to express their concerns without feeling uncomfortable in front of the influential stakeholder.

 The Delphi technique is a tool used to make quick decisions with consensus. This technique consists of sending several sets of anonymous questions to each expert. This is followed by a group discussion after every round. The Delphi technique can help the project risk manager to identify risks by soliciting the opinions of all stakeholders without revealing their identities. This way, the stakeholders can express their views freely and honestly, without being influenced or intimidated by the influential stakeholder. The Delphi technique can also reduce personal bias, ego, or emotional conflict among the participants. The project risk manager can use the results of the Delphi technique to create a list of potential risks and their causes, effects, and probabilities. References: 3, 2, 5

A risk register should be developed before submitting a formal bid response to help the company understand the project's risk profile and account for potential risks in their proposal. This allows the company to make informed decisions about cost, schedule, and resources. (Reference: Project Management Institute. A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Section 11.2)

A risk register is a document that is used as a risk management tool to identify potential setbacks within a project. A risk register is typically created at the start of a project (before it begins), and is regularly referenced and updated throughout the life of a project through deliberate risk monitoring and control1. A risk register is an important component of any successful risk management process and helps mitigate potential project delays that could arise. A risk register is shared with project stakeholders to ensure information is stored in one accessible place2. A risk register also helps to establish a hierarchy of risks, starting with the most impactful. The goal should be to have a path to mitigating those risks, reducing the harm they cause, or eliminating them. The register should also outline what’s considered an acceptable level of risk and how to set up insurance to help offset the impacts3. Therefore, a risk register should be developed before a formal bid response is provided to the client to gain a greater understanding of the project’s risk profile. This will help to estimate the project costs, schedule, and scope more accurately and realistically, as well as to identify the contingency plans and reserves needed to deal with the potential risks. Developing a risk register during the project execution phase, when a client project kick-off meeting is held, or after a project budget is set up with a purchase order are all too late to effectively identify and manage the risks that could affect the project success. References: 2, 3, 1, 4

Since the design phase is complete and the identified risks did not materialize, the project manager should close the risks and update their status in the risk register.

 The project manager should close the risks that did not materialize during the design phase and update their status in the risk register. Closing risks is part of the monitor and close risks process, which involves tracking the implementation of risk responses, monitoring the residual and secondary risks, and evaluating the effectiveness of risk management throughout the project. Closing risks also involves updating the risk register with the current status of the risks, the outcomes of the risk responses, and any lessons learned from the risk management process. Updating the risk register helps to maintain an accurate and updated record of the project risks and their impacts. References: PMI, Project Risk Management, 2nd edition, 2019, p. 97-981

Meeting with the traffic authority staff responsible for the new regulation allows the project manager and risk manager to understand the potential changes and their impact on the project. This will help them proactively address any potential issues and ensure the project complies with the new regulations.

According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1, the project manager and the risk manager should handle this situation by meeting with the traffic authority staff in charge of the new regulation. This is because:

• The new traffic regulation is an external risk that could affect the project objectives, such as scope, schedule, cost, quality, and customer satisfaction. External risks are those that arise from outside the project boundaries and are beyond the control of the project team. Examples of external risks include changes in government policies, regulations, laws, market conditions, environmental factors, etc.
• The project manager and the risk manager should proactively engage with the external stakeholders who have the power and influence to create or modify the external risks. By meeting with the traffic authority staff, they can establish a positive relationship, gain insights into the new regulation, and influence its development to align with the project needs. They can also obtain information on the probability and impact of the risk, as well as the potential response strategies.
• The other options are not effective in handling this situation because:

References:

• PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1
• Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Exam Cert Guide2

To address the lack of risk management buy-in from the project team, the risk manager should organize risk engagement activities, such as workshops. These activities can help create awareness of the importance of risk management and motivate the team to take their risk management responsibilities seriously.

 Risk engagement is the process of involving stakeholders in risk management activities, such as identifying, analyzing, prioritizing, and responding to risks. Risk engagement activities are designed to motivate and influence the project team and other stakeholders to take their risk management responsibilities seriously and to understand the benefits of risk management for the project’s success. Risk engagement activities can include workshops, games, simulations, brainstorming sessions, surveys, interviews, and other interactive methods. Risk engagement activities can help to create a positive risk culture, improve communication and collaboration, increase risk awareness and ownership, and enhance risk management skills and knowledge. References: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline and Specifications1, page 9; Mastering PMI-RMP Domains, Tasks, and Enablers for Effective Risk2

The project manager should assess and record associated secondary risks and proceed to treat them as any other risks. This involves identifying and evaluating the potential negative health effects of using pesticides and developing a plan to mitigate these risks. While it is important to consider the concerns of residents, the health authorities have determined that not moving forward with the plan will have more serious consequences on public health.

 Secondary risks are those that arise as a direct outcome of implementing a risk response. In this case, the use of pesticides is a risk response to limit the risks of harmful insects, but it may also cause negative health effects to some residents. This is a secondary risk that needs to be assessed and recorded in the risk register, along with its probability, impact, and response plan. The project manager should not suspend the project, as this would ignore the primary risk of harmful insects. The project manager should not consult with health experts to provide a risk trigger, as this is not a valid risk management technique. A risk trigger is an indication that a risk event is about to occur or has occurred, not a condition that prevents a risk response from being implemented. The project manager should not proceed with the project as normal, as this would neglect the secondary risk and its potential consequences. The project manager should follow the risk management process and treat the secondary risk as any other risk in the project. References: PMI. (2017). A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition. Chapter 11: Project Risk Management, p. 408. 5

According to the PMBOK® Guide, a scope change request is a formal proposal to modify any project document, deliverable, or baseline. It is an output of the Perform Integrated Change Control process, which is the process of reviewing all change requests, approving changes, and managing changes to the deliverables, organizational process assets, project documents, and the project management plan. A scope change request may introduce new risks or affect existing risks on the project, which may impact the project objectives, such as scope, schedule, cost, and quality.

The risk manager should support the project manager with the scope change request by evaluating any new risks that are introduced due to the change in scope. This is because the risk manager is responsible for planning, implementing, and monitoring the risk management activities on the project, as well as communicating and reporting the risk information to the project manager and other stakeholders. The risk manager should use the appropriate risk identification and analysis techniques, such as brainstorming, interviews, checklists, SWOT analysis, cause and effect diagrams, probability and impact assessment, etc., to identify and evaluate the new risks that may arise from the scope change. The risk manager should also document the new risks in the risk register, which is a project document that contains the details of all identified individual project risks and other relevant information.

The other options are not valid for what the risk manager should do to support the project manager with the scope change request:

• Update the risk management plan to reflect the scope change: This is not a valid option because the risk management plan is a component of the project management plan, which describes how risk management activities will be structured and performed on the project. It is an output of the Plan Risk Management process, which is the process of defining how to conduct risk management activities for a project. The risk management plan should not be updated to reflect the scope change, but rather to reflect any changes in the risk management approach, methodology, roles and responsibilities, budget, timing, risk categories, definitions, reporting formats, etc. The risk management plan should be updated only when there is a change in the risk management process, not in the project scope.
• Reassess the identified risks that impact the project scope: This is not a valid option because reassessing the identified risks that impact the project scope is part of the Monitor Risks process, which is the process of implementing risk response plans, tracking identified risks, monitoring residual risks, identifying new risks, and evaluating risk process effectiveness throughout the project. The risk manager should not reassess the identified risks that impact the project scope before evaluating any new risks that are introduced due to the change in scope. The risk manager should first identify and analyze the new risks, and then reassess the existing risks to determine if they are still valid, relevant, and prioritized.
• Update the risk register to identify, analyze, and plan a response for any new risk: This is not a valid option because updating the risk register to identify, analyze, and plan a response for any new risk is a combination of several risk management processes, such as Identify Risks, Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis, Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis, and Plan Risk Responses. The risk manager should not update the risk register to identify, analyze, and plan a response for any new risk in one step, but rather follow the sequential and iterative risk management processes to ensure a comprehensive and consistent risk management approach. The risk manager should also coordinate and communicate with the project manager and other stakeholders when updating the risk register, as well as obtain their approval and input.

References: PMBOK® Guide1, Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Cert Guide1

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline1, one of the tasks in the domain of Risk Identification is to review the stakeholder register and stakeholder engagement plan to communicate and solicit stakeholder input on risks throughout the project life cycle1. The stakeholder register is a project document that identifies the project stakeholders, their roles, interests, expectations, influence, and communication requirements2. The stakeholder engagement plan is a component of the project management plan that describes the strategies and actions to promote productive involvement of stakeholders in project decision making and execution3. In this scenario, the risk manager should review these documents to address the concerns of some stakeholders who are complaining that their opinions were not considered in the risk identification process. The risk manager should communicate with the stakeholders according to their preferences and needs, and solicit their input on the project risks using various tools and techniques, such as interviews, surveys, brainstorming, etc. The risk manager should also update the stakeholder register and stakeholder engagement plan as needed to reflect any changes in the stakeholder community or their expectations. The risk manager should not refer to the requirements documentation to confirm stakeholder requirements as they relate to risks, because that is not a direct way to address the stakeholders’ concerns, and it may not capture all the potential risks that the stakeholders may identify4. The risk manager should not refer to the project charter to find guidelines and stakeholder communication channels, because the project charter is a high-level document that does not provide detailed information on how to communicate and engage with the stakeholders5. The risk manager should not rewrite the risk register to include the additional possible risks and inform the stakeholders, because that is a premature and presumptuous action that may not reflect the actual views and inputs of the stakeholders, and it may create more confusion and dissatisfaction among them6. References: 1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline, page 82: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 5133: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 5184: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 1525: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 776: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 414.

An Ishikawa diagram (also known as a fishbone or cause-and-effect diagram) is a tool used to identify and analyze the root causes and sources of a risk. It helps the risk manager gain a deeper understanding of the risk source and likelihood. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 139)

 An Ishikawa diagram, also known as a fishbone diagram or a cause-and-effect diagram, is a tool that can help the risk manager to analyze the root causes of a risk and to identify the factors that influence its occurrence and impact. An Ishikawa diagram can also help to visualize the relationships among different causes and to prioritize the most significant ones. By developing and employing an Ishikawa diagram, the risk manager can gain a deeper understanding of the source and likelihood of the risk and plan appropriate responses accordingly. References: The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, page 72; PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, page 398.

The project manager should first gather more information about the previous project's issues by interviewing the other project manager. This will help in understanding the root causes of the delay and how to prevent similar issues in the current project before taking further action.

 The project manager should first include the risk of delay in delivery of the GTG in the risk register and communicate with the stakeholders about the potential impact and response strategies. This is part of the risk identification process, which is the first step in risk management. The risk register is a document that records the identified risks, their causes, effects, probabilities, impacts, and response plans. The project manager should communicate with the stakeholders to ensure that they are aware of the risk and its implications, and to obtain their feedback and support. The project manager should also update the risk register as new information becomes available or as the risk status changes. The other options are not the first actions that the project manager should take. Communicating with the client to provide the previous shutdown plan is part of the risk response process, which comes after the risk identification and analysis processes. Reviewing and updating the project schedule is part of the schedule management process, which is not directly related to risk management. Interviewing the other project manager to learn more details is a technique that can be used to identify risks, but it is not the first action that the project manager should take. The project manager should first document the risk in the risk register and communicate with the stakeholders before seeking more information from other sources. References: 3, 4, 5

The project risk manager should monitor risk thresholds closely, as they represent the organization's risk appetite. In a project with a low risk appetite, it is essential to ensure that risks are managed within the defined thresholds to address stakeholders' concerns and maintain their confidence in the project's success.

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Reference Materials, risk thresholds are the measure of acceptable variation around an objective that reflects the risk appetite of the organization1. Risk appetite is the degree of uncertainty an entity is willing to take on in anticipation of a reward2. In this case, the project has a significant impact on the organization and the stakeholders have a low risk appetite, meaning they are not willing to accept much deviation from the project objectives. Therefore, the project risk manager should monitor the risk thresholds closely to ensure that the project risks do not exceed the acceptable level of variation and impact the project performance negatively. By monitoring the risk thresholds, the project risk manager can also identify when risk responses are needed and evaluate their effectiveness.

References: 1: PMI, Practice Standard for Project Risk Management, 2009, p. 20 2: PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 720

This is a secondary risk because it is a risk that arises as a direct result of implementing a risk response (in this case, procuring material from a different supplier).

A secondary risk is a risk that arises as a direct result of implementing a risk response to a specific risk. In this case, the risk response is to procure the material from a different supplier if the first supplier fails to deliver on time. The secondary risk is that there may be differences in the material provided by the first and second supplier, which could affect the quality, cost, or schedule of the project. A secondary risk is different from a residual risk, which is a risk that remains after a risk response has been implemented. A primary risk is the original risk that triggers a risk response. A normal risk is not a standard term in risk management, but it could refer to a risk that is expected or inherent in a project. References: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline and Specifications1, page 9; A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 397; Secondary vs Residual Risk | Types of Risks on the PMP Exam.

The total contingency budget is the sum of the expected values of each risk. The expected value of a risk is the product of its probability and impact. Therefore, the expected value of risk A is 0.4 * 100,000 = US$40,000 and the expected value of risk B is 0.6 * 20,000 = US$12,000. The total contingency budget is 40,000 + 12,000 = US$52,000. However, this answer is not among the options given. The closest option is A. US$68,000, which might be the result of rounding up the expected values of each risk to the nearest thousand. This is a common practice in some projects to avoid dealing with small amounts of money. References: PMI. (2017). A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition. Chapter 11: Project Risk Management, p. 406. 5

According to the PMBOK® Guide1, the risk management plan is a component of the project management plan that describes how risk management activities will be structured and performed. It provides guidance on how the project team will identify, analyze, respond, monitor, and control risks throughout the project life cycle. The risk management plan should be reviewed and updated whenever there are changes in the project scope, schedule, budget, or objectives, as these changes may introduce new risks or affect the existing ones. In this case, the organization’s decision to accelerate a key project is a significant change that may alter the risk profile of the project. Therefore, the first action for the project risk manager to take is to revise the risk management plan to reflect the new situation and ensure that the risk management processes are aligned with the project objectives and constraints. This is part of the Plan Risk Management process in the PMBOK® Guide1. References: 1: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition

The risk identification technique that the risk manager should use is the nominal group technique. This technique involves bringing stakeholders together to brainstorm potential risks and then ranking them based on their importance. This allows for interaction and collaboration among stakeholders, which can help ensure that an exhaustive list of risks is created.

The nominal group technique is a risk identification technique that involves the interaction and collaboration of stakeholders to generate an exhaustive list of risks. It is a structured process that allows each participant to share their ideas independently, then rank and prioritize them as a group. This technique ensures that all opinions are considered and reduces the influence of dominant or biased individuals12

References: 1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Handbook, page 10 2: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Seventh Edition, page 11.2.2.1

 According to the PMBOK Guide, one of the tools and techniques for the plan risk management process is ground rules. Ground rules are the rules of conduct or behavior that are established by the project team and other stakeholders to ensure a productive and respectful environment for risk management activities. Ground rules can cover various aspects of risk management, such as roles and responsibilities, communication protocols, decision-making processes, meeting agendas, and conflict resolution methods1. By referring to the team’s ground rules on how to resolve conflicts, the risk manager can handle the situation where two key external stakeholders are overemphasizing the impact of a few project risks. This can help the risk manager to maintain a constructive and collaborative atmosphere in the risk reassessment workshop, as well as to ensure that the risk analysis and prioritization are based on objective and consistent criteria.

Some of the other options are not relevant or appropriate for the question scenario:

• Requesting for a skilled facilitator to help resolve conflicts that have arisen is not a feasible or effective option, as it would interrupt the flow of the risk reassessment workshop and delay the risk management process. The risk manager should be able to facilitate the workshop and handle conflicts by themselves, using the tools and techniques that they have planned and agreed upon with the project team and stakeholders.
• Running a sensitivity analysis to check which risks have the most impact is a technique for the perform quantitative risk analysis process, which is not applicable in the context of a risk reassessment workshop. A sensitivity analysis is a quantitative method that examines the effect of varying one risk parameter at a time on the project objectives, such as cost or schedule. It is not a tool for resolving conflicts or validating the impact of risks, as it does not consider the interrelationships and dependencies among risks or the probability of risk occurrence1.
• Using the assumption analysis technique to validate the assumptions is a technique for the identify risks process, which is not suitable for the situation where conflicts have already arisen in the risk reassessment workshop. An assumption analysis is a technique that explores the validity of the assumptions that are made during the project planning and risk management processes. It is not a tool for resolving conflicts or verifying the impact of risks, as it does not address the root causes or the consequences of the disagreements among the stakeholders1.

References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, pages 407-408, 431-432, 437-438, 441-4421; PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline, 2015, pages 7-8.

sensitivity analysis is a technique that helps to determine which risks have the most potential impact on the project. It examines the extent to which the uncertainty of each project element affects the objective being examined when all other uncertain elements are held at their baseline values. Sensitivity analysis is often used to assess the risk exposure of the project schedule and cost, and to identify the critical risks that need to be managed. In this case, the risk manager needs to understand how the new risk resulting from the delay will affect the project deadline, which is the objective being examined. By performing sensitivity analysis, the risk manager can compare the relative importance and interaction of the new risk with other existing risks, and determine the worst-case scenarios for the project completion date. Sensitivity analysis can also help to prioritize risks for response planning and to develop contingency reserves. This is part of the Perform Quantitative Risk Analysis process in the PMBOK® Guide2. References: 1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline 2: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition

Reviewing published operational experience reports from similar projects or industries can help the risk manager objectively identify risks for the chemical laboratory project. These reports provide valuable insights into potential risks and lessons learned from other projects.

According to the PMBOK Guide, one of the tools and techniques for the identify risks process is data gathering. Data gathering is the process of collecting information from various sources to identify potential risks that may affect the project objectives. One of the data gathering techniques is document analysis, which involves reviewing and analyzing available project documents and other information sources to identify potential risks. Some of the documents that can be analyzed are project charter, project management plan, stakeholder register, assumptions log, agreements, and lessons learned1.

One of the information sources that can be useful for identifying risks in a project constructing a chemical laboratory is published operational experience reports. These are reports that document the experiences, lessons learned, best practices, and recommendations from other organizations or projects that have constructed or operated chemical laboratories. These reports can provide valuable insights into the common risks, challenges, and opportunities that are associated with chemical laboratory projects, such as safety hazards, environmental regulations, equipment failures, design specifications, quality standards, and stakeholder expectations. By reviewing published operational experience reports, the risk manager can objectively identify risks that are relevant and applicable to their project, as well as learn from the successes and failures of others23.

Some of the other options are not relevant or appropriate for the question scenario:

• Importing a risk register from other industry chemical laboratories is not a valid option, as it would not allow the risk manager to objectively identify risks that are specific and unique to their project. A risk register is a document that records the identified risks, their causes, impacts, responses, owners, and other information related to the risk management process. A risk register is a project-specific document that reflects the characteristics, objectives, and context of a particular project. Importing a risk register from other industry chemical laboratories would not ensure that the risks are relevant, accurate, or comprehensive for the risk manager’s project. Moreover, it would violate the intellectual property rights and confidentiality agreements of the other projects1.
• Defining chemical laboratory safety risk thresholds is not a tool or technique for identifying risks, but rather for performing qualitative risk analysis. Risk thresholds are the measures of the level of uncertainty or the level of impact at which a stakeholder may have a specific interest. Risk thresholds are used to determine the significance of each risk and to prioritize them for further analysis or action. Defining chemical laboratory safety risk thresholds would not help the risk manager to objectively identify risks, but rather to evaluate them1.
• Drafting threat and opportunity risks that come to mind is not an objective or systematic way of identifying risks, but rather a subjective and intuitive one. This option would rely on the risk manager’s personal judgment, experience, or creativity, which may not be sufficient or reliable for identifying risks in a project constructing a chemical laboratory. This option would also not ensure that the risks are based on factual and verifiable information sources, such as project documents or published reports. Drafting threat and opportunity risks that come to mind would not help the risk manager to objectively identify risks, but rather to generate them1.

References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, pages 397-399, 414-415, 431-432, 441-4421; Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Cert Guide, pages 63-642; Risk Management Professional Exam Outline, page 73.

 The project manager should proceed with the planned risk response to move the equipment, as this is the best way to deal with the weather-related risk that was identified and recorded in the risk register. A risk register is a document that lists all the identified risks, their causes, impacts, probabilities, and responses for a project1. A risk response is a strategy or action that is taken to reduce the negative effects or enhance the positive effects of a risk event2. A risk response should be planned and executed according to the risk management plan, which is a document that describes how risk management activities will be structured and performed on a project3. The risk management plan should also define the roles and responsibilities, risk categories, risk appetite and thresholds, risk identification and analysis methods, risk response strategies, risk monitoring and reporting mechanisms, and risk governance mechanisms3. Therefore, the project manager should follow the risk management plan and the risk register to implement the planned risk response to move the equipment, as this is the most effective and efficient way to manage the risk and meet the project objectives. Waiting until the weather improves before sending the equipment, asking the project sponsor to approve shipping the equipment, or requesting the shipment of the equipment to satisfy the client are not the best options to deal with the weather-related risk. Waiting until the weather improves may cause further delays and increase the cost and scope of the project, as well as damage the relationship with the client. Asking the project sponsor to approve shipping the equipment may not be necessary or feasible, as the project sponsor may not have the authority or the availability to make such a decision. Requesting the shipment of the equipment to satisfy the client may not be realistic or safe, as the bad weather may pose a threat to the quality and integrity of the equipment, as well as the health and safety of the people involved in the transportation. These options may also deviate from the risk management plan and the risk register, which may create confusion and inconsistency in the risk management process. References: 1, 2, 3.

After gathering cycle time data, the risk manager should perform a risk data quality assessment to ensure the data is accurate, reliable, and relevant for evaluating the current process and the new software.

 A risk data quality assessment is a technique to evaluate the degree to which the data about risks is useful and accurate for risk management. It involves examining the reliability, credibility, accuracy, and validity of the data collected. A risk data quality assessment can help the risk manager to determine the confidence level of the risk analysis and the quality of the risk responses. Performing a risk data quality assessment is the next logical step after gathering the cycle time data, as it will help to ensure that the data is suitable for further analysis and decision making. References: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline and Specifications1, page 9; A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 397.

According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Section 11.4.3.1, Risk Thresholds, risk thresholds are the level of risk exposure above which risks are addressed and below which risks may be accepted. Risk thresholds are determined by the organization’s risk appetite, which is the degree of uncertainty that an organization is willing to accept in pursuit of its goals. Therefore, when the project manager is informed by the risk owner that the exposure from two high-impact risks are hitting the risk thresholds, the project manager should complete an assessment and confirm the response with the sponsors, who are the key stakeholders for the project and have a low risk appetite. The project manager should not update the project management plan, perform an assumptions and constraints analysis, or implement mitigation measures without first consulting with the sponsors and obtaining their approval. References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Section 11.4.3.1, Risk Thresholds

Since the probability and impact the risk are both low, it is appropriate to put the risk on the watch list. This allows the risk manager to monitor the risk without expending significant resources on it.

 A watch list is a list of low-priority risks that are not actively managed, but are monitored for changes. A watch list can help the risk manager to keep track of the risks that have low probability and low impact, and to reassess them periodically. Putting the risk on the watch list is the most appropriate action for the risk manager, as it allows him or her to document the risk and review it later. Seeking guidance from SMEs, ignoring the risk, or informing the stakeholders are not necessary actions for a low-priority risk, as they would consume time and resources that could be better spent on more critical risks. References: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline and Specifications1, page 10; A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 406.

Since the project manager cannot avoid, transfer, or mitigate the risk, the only remaining option is to accept the risk and develop a contingency plan to handle it if it occurs.

According to the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline1, one of the tools and techniques for risk response planning is risk response strategies. These are the actions that the project manager and the project team take to address the identified risks, either positive or negative. For negative risks or threats, the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline1 lists four possible strategies: avoid, transfer, mitigate, and accept.

• Avoid risk means changing the project plan to eliminate the threat or its impact2. For example, changing the scope, schedule, or budget to avoid a risk.
• Transfer risk means shifting the impact of a threat to a third party, such as a contractor, vendor, or insurer2. For example, buying insurance, outsourcing, or using performance bonds to transfer a risk.
• Mitigate risk means reducing the probability and/or impact of a threat2. For example, conducting more tests, adopting best practices, or providing training to mitigate a risk.
• Accept risk means acknowledging the existence of a threat and being willing to deal with its consequences2. For example, doing nothing, establishing a contingency reserve, or developing a contingency plan to accept a risk.

In this question, the project manager has determined that they cannot outsource work (transfer) nor eliminate the scope (avoid). They also discover that they cannot buy insurance (transfer) or mitigate the risk. Therefore, the only remaining option is to accept the risk. Accepting the risk does not mean ignoring the risk, but rather recognizing it and preparing for its potential occurrence and impact. Therefore, the best answer is D.

References: 1: PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline, page 9. 2: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 443.

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Reference Materials, the project management plan is the document that describes how the project will be executed, monitored, and controlled. It integrates and consolidates all the subsidiary plans and baselines from the project management processes1. The project management plan should be updated whenever there are changes in the project scope, schedule, cost, quality, resources, communications, risks, procurements, or stakeholder engagement2. In this case, the project team has decided to log the opportunities in the current project’s risk register, which is a component of the project management plan. Opportunities are positive risks that may have a beneficial effect on the project objectives, such as cost savings, schedule acceleration, or quality improvement3. Therefore, the project team should update the project management plan to ensure the results of the opportunities are captured and reflected in the relevant subsidiary plans and baselines. For example, if an opportunity leads to a cost saving, the project team should update the cost management plan and the cost baseline accordingly.

References: 1: PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 89 2: PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 123 3: PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 397

The action that the risk manager should propose is to ask the team to prepare a Monte Carlo analysis. This is a statistical technique that can be used to model the probability of different outcomes in a project. By performing a Monte Carlo analysis, the project manager can objectively evaluate key project risks and develop response plans based on this analysis.

 A Monte Carlo analysis is a simulation technique that uses probability distributions and random sampling to model the possible outcomes of a project risk event. It can help the project manager to evaluate the key project risks and develop response plans based on the expected value, standard deviation, and confidence intervals of the results. A Monte Carlo analysis can also provide information on the probability of achieving the project objectives, such as cost, schedule, and quality. A Monte Carlo analysis is an objective method because it does not rely on subjective judgments or opinions, but on mathematical calculations and statistical data. References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Section 11.5.2.3, Monte Carlo Analysis1

 A decision tree analysis is a tool that helps to evaluate and select the best option among different alternatives based on costs and probabilities. A decision tree analysis uses a graphical representation of a decision problem, where each node represents a decision point, a chance event, or an outcome. The branches of the tree show the possible choices, events, or consequences that can occur at each node. The end nodes of the tree show the expected value or payoff of each option, which is calculated by multiplying the probability and the cost or benefit of each outcome. A decision tree analysis can help to compare the expected values of different options and choose the one that maximizes the benefit or minimizes the cost1. A decision tree analysis can also help to incorporate uncertainty and risk into the decision making process, as it shows the range of possible outcomes and their likelihoods2. Therefore, the project manager should perform a decision tree analysis to evaluate and select the best option based on costs and probabilities for a mega facility development project. Performing a FMECA fault tree analysis, conducting a sensitivity analysis, or conducting an analytic hierarchy process are not the best options to evaluate and select the best option based on costs and probabilities. A FMECA fault tree analysis is a tool that helps to identify and analyze the potential causes and effects of failures in a system or process. It uses a graphical representation of a failure event, where each node represents a basic or intermediate event that contributes to the failure. The branches of the tree show the logical relationships between the events, using AND or OR gates. A FMECA fault tree analysis can help to calculate the probability and severity of failures, as well as to prioritize and mitigate the risks3. However, a FMECA fault tree analysis does not help to compare different options or alternatives, as it focuses on a single failure scenario. Conducting a sensitivity analysis is a tool that helps to measure how the uncertainty in the input variables of a model affects the output or outcome of the model. It uses a graphical or numerical representation of the relationship between the input and output variables, showing how the output changes when the input changes. A sensitivity analysis can help to identify the most critical or influential variables, as well as to test the robustness or reliability of the model4. However, a sensitivity analysis does not help to compare different options or alternatives, as it focuses on a single model or option. Conducting an analytic hierarchy process is a tool that helps to evaluate and select the best option among different alternatives based on multiple criteria. It uses a mathematical method of pairwise comparison, where each alternative is compared to each other in terms of each criterion. The results of the comparisons are then aggregated into a matrix, which shows the relative importance or preference of each alternative. An analytic hierarchy process can help to rank the alternatives and choose the one that best satisfies the criteria5. However, an analytic hierarchy process does not help to incorporate costs and probabilities into the decision making process, as it relies on subjective judgments and preferences. References: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.

A decision tree analysis is a quantitative risk analysis technique that helps evaluate and select the best option based on costs and probabilities. It visually represents different decision paths and their associated probabilities, allowing the project manager to compare and select the most appropriate option for the project.

The risk manager should include an escalation process in the risk management plan to address risks that may impact other projects. This ensures that any identified risks that could affect multiple projects are communicated and managed appropriately across the organization.

The risk manager should include an escalation process in the risk management plan to deal with risks that may affect other projects or the organization as a whole. An escalation process is a set of procedures that defines how and when risks should be communicated to higher levels of authority or responsibility for decision making or resolution. The escalation process should specify the criteria, roles, responsibilities, and communication channels for escalating risks. The risk manager should follow the escalation process when identifying risks that may have extensive impacts beyond the scope of the project. The other options are not appropriate actions for the risk manager to take. Contacting the risk managers of the other projects and informing them is not sufficient, as it does not ensure that the risks are properly addressed or resolved. Taking note of the extensive impact of these risks in the risk register is not enough, as it does not involve the necessary stakeholders or decision makers. Addressing the unique characteristics of these risks on a case-by-case basis is not consistent, as it does not follow a standard process or protocol. References: 2, 3, 4

The project manager should have updated the project schedule by adding risk owner implementation tasks. This would have ensured that the planned risk responses were implemented in a timely manner and tracked as part of the project schedule. This would also have allowed the project manager to monitor the progress of risk response implementation and take corrective action if necessary.

According to the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline and Specifications1, one of the tasks under Domain 4: Risk Monitoring and Reporting is to “update project schedule, budget, and risk register with risk response outcomes”. This implies that the project manager should have added the risk owner implementation tasks to the project schedule, so that they can be tracked and monitored. By doing so, the project manager could have ensured that the planned risk responses were executed as intended, and that the opportunities were not missed. References: PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline and Specifications, page 10.

An affinity diagram is a tool used to visually organize and group risks or ideas based on their similarities and categories. It helps in structuring the risks for further analysis and discussion. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 138)

 According to the PMBOK Guide, an affinity diagram is a tool and technique for the identify risks process that allows large numbers of ideas to be sorted into groups for review and analysis. An affinity diagram can help the risk manager to visually organize the risks identified in the pre-workshop survey by grouping them into categories based on their similarities or common characteristics. This can help the risk manager to facilitate the risk analysis and prioritization in the workshop, as well as to stimulate new patterns of thinking and generate additional risks.

Some of the other options are not relevant or appropriate for the question scenario:

• The analytical hierarchy process is a technique for the plan risk management process that provides a method for comparing and ranking alternatives based on multiple criteria. It is not a tool for visually organizing risks.
• A SWOT analysis is a technique for the identify risks process that examines the project from the perspective of its strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. It is not a tool for visually organizing risks, but rather for generating them.
• Assigning probability and impact is a technique for the perform qualitative risk analysis process that assesses the likelihood and the potential effect of each individual risk on the project objectives. It is not a tool for visually organizing risks, but rather for evaluating them.

References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, pages 397-399, 414-415, 431-432, 441-442; PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline, 2015, page 7.

The project manager should mitigate risks identified on the sensitivity analysis to ensure the P90 date is met. Sensitivity analysis helps identify the most critical risks that have the potential to impact the project's completion date. By mitigating these risks, the project manager can increase the likelihood of meeting the P90 date.

 According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Reference Materials, the P90 date is the date that has a 90% probability of being met or exceeded by the project completion1. The Monte Carlo analysis is a simulation technique that generates possible outcomes of the project schedule based on the probability distributions of the activity durations2. The sensitivity analysis is a technique that determines how different sources of uncertainty affect the project objectives, such as the completion date3. Therefore, the project manager should mitigate the risks identified on the sensitivity analysis, as they are the most likely to affect the P90 date. By reducing the uncertainty and variability of the project schedule, the project manager can increase the confidence level of meeting the P90 date.

References: 1: PMI, Practice Standard for Project Risk Management, 2009, p. 91 2: PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 215 3: PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 403

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline1, one of the tasks in the domain of Risk Response is to recommend risk response strategies based on the risk appetite and tolerance of the organization and stakeholders1. One of the strategies for negative risks or threats is risk acceptance, which involves acknowledging the existence of a threat and making a conscious decision to accept it without taking any action2. In this scenario, the risk manager should recommend risk acceptance for the risk items that would be detrimental to project success, but the associated triggers cannot be managed by the organization and are unlikely to occur. Risk acceptance is appropriate when the risk exposure is low, the cost of other responses is high, or the risk response is outside the scope or influence of the project3. The risk manager should not recommend risk mitigation, which involves reducing the probability and/or impact of a threat2. The risk manager should not recommend risk enhancement, which is a strategy for positive risks or opportunities, not negative risks or threats2. The risk manager should not recommend risk exploitation, which is also a strategy for positive risks or opportunities, not negative risks or threats2. References: 1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline, page 102: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 4363: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 437.

The overall goal of selecting strategies during the Plan Risk Response activity is to choose those strategies that have the greatest overall positive influence on the project, considering factors such as cost, schedule, and resources.

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline1, one of the tasks in the domain of Risk Response is to select risk response strategies based on the risk appetite and tolerance of the organization and stakeholders1. The overall goal of selecting risk response strategies is to select the strategies with the greatest overall positive influence on the project objectives, such as scope, schedule, cost, quality, etc. The risk response strategies should aim to enhance the opportunities and reduce the threats to the project, while considering the cost-benefit analysis, the feasibility, and the alignment with the project goals and stakeholder expectations2. The risk response strategies should not be selected based on the least overall impact to resources, because that may not be the most effective or efficient way to address the risks, and it may ignore the potential benefits of some strategies that may require more resources but also deliver more value3. The risk response strategies should not be selected based on the least financial impact, because that may not be the most relevant or comprehensive criterion to evaluate the risks, and it may overlook other aspects of the project, such as quality, customer satisfaction, reputation, etc. that may also be affected by the risks4. The risk response strategies should not be selected based on the greatest benefit to stakeholders, because that may not be the most realistic or achievable goal, and it may create conflicts or trade-offs among different stakeholder groups that may have different or competing interests, needs, and expectations5. References: 1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline, page 102: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 4403: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 4414: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 4425: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 518.

Regression analysis is a data analysis tool that helps identify variables that impact the schedule and determine how these factors interact. It is used to forecast future performance based on historical data and the relationship between variables. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 248)

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Reference Materials, regression analysis is a data analysis tool that examines the relationship between one or more independent variables and a dependent variable1. Regression analysis can be used to forecast future performance based on historical data and trends2. In this case, the risk manager wants to identify which variables will impact the schedule (the dependent variable) and determine how these factors interact (the independent variables). Therefore, the risk manager should use regression analysis to create a mathematical model that can predict the schedule performance based on the values of the variables. Regression analysis can also help the risk manager to assess the significance and strength of the relationship between the variables and the schedule3.

References: 1: PMI, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide), Sixth Edition, 2017, p. 720 2: PMI, Practice Standard for Project Risk Management, 2009, p. 95 3: Tips and Tricks for Passing the Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP …

If a risk still leaves substantial residual risk after implementing the mitigation strategy, the risk manager should revisit the risk register and redefine the mitigation strategy to reduce the residual risk to an acceptable level.

According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1, an effect of adding the correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model is that it increases the standard deviation of the model. This is because:

• Correlation is the statistical relationship between two or more variables. In a schedule risk analysis, correlation can be used to model the dependency between the durations of different activities. For example, if two activities are positively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is also likely to take longer than expected. Conversely, if two activities are negatively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is likely to take shorter than expected.
• A Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis is a simulation technique that uses random values for uncertain variables, such as activity durations, to generate possible outcomes for the project schedule. The simulation is repeated many times to produce a probability distribution of the project completion date and duration. The standard deviation is a measure of the variability or dispersion of the distribution. A higher standard deviation means that the distribution is more spread out and less predictable.
• Adding correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model increases the standard deviation of the model because it introduces more variability and uncertainty to the simulation. Correlated activities can have a cumulative effect on the project schedule, either positively or negatively, depending on the direction and strength of the correlation. This can result in more extreme outcomes for the project completion date and duration, which increase the spread of the distribution and the standard deviation.

References:

• PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1
• Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Exam Cert Guide2