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8007 Exam Dumps - Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement - 2015 Edition

Question # 4

For each of the following functions, indicate whether its graph is concave or convex:

Y = 7x2 + 3x + 9

Y = 6 ln(3x)

Y = exp(-4x)

A.

concave, concave, concave

B.

concave, convex, convex

C.

convex, concave, concave

D.

convex, convex, concave

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Question # 5

A 95% confidence interval for a parameter estimate can be interpreted as follows:

A.

The probability that the real value of the parameter is within this interval is 95%.

B.

The probability that the real value of the parameter is outside this interval is 95%.

C.

The probability that the estimated value of the parameter is within this interval is 95%.

D.

The probability that the estimated value of the parameter is outside this interval is 95%.

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Question # 6

There are two portfolios with no overlapping of stocks or bonds. Portfolio 1 has 6 stocks and 6 bonds. Portfolio 2 has 4 stocks and 8 bonds. If we randomly select one stock, what is the probability that it came from Portfolio1?

A.

0.3

B.

0.5

C.

0.6

D.

None of these

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Question # 7

What is the sum of the first 20 terms of this sequence: 3, 5, 9, 17, 33, 65,…?

A.

1 048 574

B.

1 048 595

C.

2 097 170

D.

2 097 172

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Question # 8

Let X be a random variable distributed normally with mean 0 and standard deviation 1. What is the expected value of exp(X)?

A.

E(exp(X)) = 1.6487

B.

E(exp(X)) = 1

C.

E(exp(X)) = 2.7183

D.

E(exp(X)) = 0.6065

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Question # 9

When a number is written with a fraction as an exponent, such as , which of the following is the correct computation?

A.

Take the square-root of 75 and raise it to the 5th power

B.

Divide 75 by 2, then raise it to the 5th power

C.

Multiply 75 by 2.5

D.

Square 75, then take the fifth root of it

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Question # 10

A bond has modified duration 6 and convexity 30. Find the duration-convexity approximation to the percentage change in bond price when its yield increases by 5 basis points

A.

10 basis point rise

B.

24 basis fall

C.

24 basis point rise

D.

30 basis points fall.

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Question # 11

The gradient of a smooth function is

A.

a vector that shows the direction of fastest change of a function

B.

matrix of second partial derivatives of a function

C.

infinite at a maximum point

D.

a matrix containing the function's second partial derivatives

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Question # 12

Exploring a regression model for values of the independent variable that have not been observed is most accurately described as…

A.

Estimation

B.

Regression

C.

Hypothesis testing

D.

Prediction

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Question # 13

Find the first-order Taylor approximation p(x) for the function: at the point .

A.

-x

B.

-x+1

C.

x-1

D.

x+1

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Question # 14

Which of the following is not a direct cause of autocorrelation or heteroskedasticity in the residuals of a regression model?

A.

A structural break in the dependent variable

B.

A high positive correlation between two explanatory variables

C.

The omission of a relevant explanatory variable

D.

Using an inappropriate functional form in the model

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Question # 15

Let N(.) denote the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal probability distribution, and N' its derivative. Which of the following is false?

A.

N(0) = 0.5

B.

N'(0) ≥ 0

C.

N(x) → 0 as x → ∞

D.

N'(x) → 0 as x → ∞

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Question # 16

The Lagrangian of a constrained optimisation problem is given by L(x,y,λ) = 16x+8x2+4y-λ(4x+y-20), where λ is the Lagrange multiplier. What is the solution for x and y?

A.

x = -1, y = 0

B.

x = 0, y = 20

C.

x = 5, y = 0

D.

None of the above

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Question # 17

Assume that 40% of all financial organizations investigated by authorities turn out to be fraudulent.

What is the probability of randomly investigating 2 different organizations and finding that neither is fraudulent; and what is the probability of finding exactly one being fraudulent?

A.

2/5 and 1/2

B.

2/5 and 3/5

C.

1/3 and 8/17

D.

9/25 and 12/25

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Question # 18

Which of the following statements concerning class intervals used for grouping of data is correct?

When grouping data, attention must be paid to the following with regards to class intervals:

1. Class intervals should not overlap

2. Class intervals should be of equal size unless there is a specific need to highlight data within a specific subgroup

3. The class intervals should be large enough so that they not obscure interesting variation within the group

A.

Statements 2 and 3 are correct

B.

Statements 1 and 2 are correct

C.

All three statements are correct

D.

Statements 1 and 3 are correct

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Question # 19

The sum of the infinite series 1+1/2+1/3+1/4+1/5+.... equals:

A.

12

B.

Infinity

C.

128

D.

20

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